457
FXUS63 KABR 021357
AFDABR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
757 AM CST Mon Mar 2 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Temperatures warming back up to above normal values again this
week. Warmest Wednesday/Thursday around 20 degrees above normal with
highs mainly in the mid 50s to mid 60s.

- There is a 30% chance of a wintry mix of precipitation Thursday
night into Friday. The chance of 1" of snow or more is limited to
15% across most of west central MN and the southeastern half of SD,
highest around the Sisseton Hills.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 756 AM CST Mon Mar 2 2026

We are monitoring the light rain falling over portions of south
central SD, which is attempting to move across Jones/Lyman
Counties. Most CAMs still indicate that our southern counties will
stay mainly dry until after 18Z, with any rain accumulations
staying limited to less than 0.05".

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 103 AM CST Mon Mar 2 2026

As of 1 AM CST, temperatures are in the teens to low 20s with clear
skies and winds out of the southeast at generally less than 10 mph.
Dropped high temps today a few degrees where we have a snowpack.
Highs are expected to be in the mid 30s to low 40s in northeastern
SD and west central MN while rising into the upper 40s to mid 50s in
central SD.

Continued relatively quiet weather today as high pressure remains
over the region with a low off to our west. We will get a good shot
of WAA today which will help bring in some warmer temperatures that
look to continue through the work week. Confidence is low on just
how much warmer we will get over the next couple days due to the
current snowpack. There is a chance for some light rain in south
central SD this afternoon, but chances max out right around 30 to
40% and little to no accumulation is expected. Shifting focus to
later this week, we have a chance for some precipitation Thursday
evening into Friday. A low pressure system looks to move southwest
to northeast across eastern SD. Rain, wintry mix, snow, and freezing
rain are all possible. This will mainly take place over the eastern
half of the CWA, leaving north central SD fairly dry. Current
chances for freezing rain are around 15% or less (highest over the
Prairie Coteau/Sisseton Hills area) Friday morning. Temperatures
following this system look to be about 10 to 15 degrees cooler at
850 mb and these cooler temperatures are forecast to last into next
work week.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 521 AM CST Mon Mar 2 2026

Terminals KABR,KATY,KPIR,KMBG

VFR conditions are expected through this evening. Some fog/stratus
may develop near KABR and KATY toward Tuesday morning.


&&

.ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...None.
MN...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...06
DISCUSSION...13
AVIATION...20