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Forecast Discussion for Aberdeen, SD
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991 FXUS63 KABR 080630 AFDABR Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Aberdeen SD 130 AM CDT Fri May 8 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Afternoon relative humidity values will drop between 20 and 30 percent and combine with gusts of 25 to 35 mph to create elevated fire weather concerns. Highest wind gusts and lowest relative humidity values overlap around and east of the James River valley for a few hours this afternoon. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 129 AM CDT Fri May 8 2026 As of 1 AM CDT, temperatures around the area are in the lower 40s with light winds out of the north to northwest. We have some high clouds that will move over the area to keep temperatures a little warmer overnight before clearing out for the day. The main story for the forecast will be today`s elevated fire weather concerns. Fuels are still pretty dry and with dry air and warmer temperatures, fires will be able to spread quickly and be difficult to control. Did lower dewpoints a little since we have been overachieving recently. The main areas of concern will be portions of northeast SD along and east of the James River continuing east into west central MN. RH values this afternoon in this area are forecast to drop below 25% with wind gusts of 25 to 35 mph. Will keep an eye on this as dewpoints might fall below what is currently forecast. Our next chance for precipitation will be some scattered showers Friday night into early Saturday morning as a cold front moves north to south across the Dakotas. QPF out of these showers is not expected to be much at all. A low pressure system moves across southern Canada Monday and Tuesday with it`s cold front moving west to east across the forecast area. This will bring a chance for some precipitation as well. On the temperature side of things, we will be closer to average across most of central and northeast SD for the next few days before becoming warmer going into next week. Next work week looks to have highs 10-15 degrees above average along and west of the James River. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/... Issued at 1224 AM CDT Fri May 8 2026 Terminals KABR,KATY,KPIR,KMBG VFR conditions are expected through Friday. Northwest winds will gust 20 to 30 kts in the afternoon. && .ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... SD...None. MN...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...13 AVIATION...20 |
Previous Forecast Discussions may be found at
NWS Aberdeen, SD (ABR) Office Forecast Discussions.
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