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Forecast Discussion for Aberdeen, SD

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074
FXUS63 KABR 111714 AAA
AFDABR

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
1114 AM CST Wed Feb 11 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Above normal temperatures, 15-20 degrees warmer than normal, will
continue into the weekend before getting up to 20-25 degrees warmer
than normal this weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1024 AM CST Wed Feb 11 2026

Weak low pressure moves into south central SD tonight with a nose of
a sfc trough/warm front extending toward the MN/IA border. Models
have nudged any moisture even farther south. With the exception of a
weak 15 to 20 kt llj potentially ginning up some sprinkles in Lyman
and Jones county early this evening, chances look too slim for a
precip mention. Removed the 15 to 20 pop, accordingly, especially
given the dry westerlies aloft.

Dry conditions and above normal temperatures continue through at
least Monday. High temperatures appear to be 15 to 25 degrees above
average with warmest temps Sunday and Monday as slightly breezier
southerly winds create better mixing.

Tuesday may be the next chance for widespread rain, though
confidence is low at this time range with a wide solution spread in
the track of the low moving into the Plains.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1114 AM CST Wed Feb 11 2026

Terminals KABR,KATY,KPIR,KMBG

VFR conditions with light winds expected through Thursday morning.

&&

.ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...None.
MN...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...20
AVIATION...20

Previous Forecast Discussions may be found at
NWS Aberdeen, SD (ABR) Office Forecast Discussions.
(Click 'Previous Version' there to view past versions successively.
Some may differ only in time posted.)

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